G'day!
This web site contains material that I have developed/collected, over the past few years, as part of my campaign to contain the spread of Info-Gap decision theory in Australia . If this is your first visit to my site take note that I launched this campaign at the end of 2006.
Browsing through my site you will see that these pages attest to the vigorous discussions that I have been having with my colleagues — mostly academics — since the end of 2003 about the various aspects of decision-making under severe uncertainty. And if you examine my professional profile you'll notice that I had taught and have been researching this and related topics for some thirty odd years. So naturally, the discussions that you'll find here have a, so to speak, "academic" cast.
Still, I should point out that although I have been an academic for many years, I am acutely aware of the consequences that the so-called "academic" discourse, research and so on, may have for the messy realities of the "real world". I therefore make it a rule to ground my academic discussions on decision-making in the messy reality of the "real world".
Latest News
Have you purchased a copy of my brand new book Dynamic Programming: Foundations and Principles
Have you read the preview of my forthcoming book Foolded by Robustness: A Perspective from Down Under -- the Land of the Black Swan
December 11, 2011Adaptation in the UK: a decision-making process.
November 19, 2011Ecological-economic optimization of biodiversity conservation under climate change.
November 17, 2011On the Power of the (peer-reviewed) Word are now available.
November 8, 2011The Art, Science, and Joy of (mathematical) Decision-Making , are now available.
July 27, 2011CSIRO report on Uncertainty and Uncertainty Analysis Methods
July 27, 2011Second Call for the Reassessment of Info-Gap Decision Theory
June 27, 2011Investment decisions under uncertainty --- A methodological review on forest science studies
June 27, 2011Integrating info-gap decision theory with robust population management: a case study using the Mountain Plover
June 27, 2011Linear bounds on an uncertain non-linear oscillator: an info-gap approach
June 22, 2011Robust climate policies under uncertainty: A comparison of Info--Gap and RDM methods
May 9, 2011Precaution with the Precautionary Principle: How does it help in making decisions
April 9, 2011The Precautionary Approach and the Role of Scientists in Environmental Decision-Making
April 3, 2011Frequently asked questions about info-gap decision theory
October 23, 2010Info-gap robustness for the correlation of tests and simulations of a non-linear transient
October 23, 2010Applying information-gap reasoning to the predictive accuracy assessment of transient dynamics simulations
October 23, 2010Information-gap robustness for the test-analysis and optimization of a nonlinear transient simulation
October 16, 2010Computing Robustness of FlexRay Schedules to Uncertainties in Design Parameters
October 10, 2010What Makes a Good Decision? Robust Satisficing as a Normative Standard of Rational Decision Making
September 22, 2010Official Mobile Debunker of info-gap decision theory
September 14, 2010Robust satisficing voting: why are uncertain voters biased towards sincerity?
September 12, 2010Robustness of Risk Maps and Survey Networks to Knowledge Gaps About a New Invasive Pest
September 11, 2010Securing the Border from Invasives: Robust Inspections under Severe Uncertainty
September 7, 2010 Allocating monitoring effort in the face of unknown unknowns
September 6, 2010Mobile Maximin Theorem for the convenience of the traveling info-gap scholar.
September 6, 2010Mobile Radius of Stability Theorem for the convenience of the traveling info-gap scholar.
September 1, 2010Interpreting Null Results from Measurements with Uncertain Correlations: An Info-Gap Approach
August 17, 2010Information gap analysis of flood model uncertainties and regional frequency analysis
August 16, 2010Info-Gap Economics: An Operational Introduction
April 18, 2010When the Info-Gap Spin Goes Marching in!
February 19, 2010Robust decisions for declaring eradication of invasive species
by Tracy M. Rout, Colin J. Thompson, and Michael A. McCarthy.
November 26, 2009Info-Gap Economics
July 12, 2009 Heterogeneous uncertainties in cholesterol management
by Yakov Ben-Haim, Clifford C. Dacso, Jonathon Carrasco, and Nithin Rajan.
June 30, 2009Myth and Facts about Info-Gap Decision Theory
June 27, 2009How do you recognize a Voodoo decision theory? (RMIT June 26, 2009).
June 22, 2009 Reinventing a Square Wheel .
June 15, 2009 An info-gap approach to managing portfolios of assets with uncertain returns by Beresford and Thompson.
June 11, 2009Too Good to be True! syndrome.
June 6, 2009A Guided Tour of Info-Gap's Robustness Model and Some of its Fundamental Flaws
June 1, 2009 Do we know how to set decision thresholds for diabetes? by Y. Ben-Haim, M. Zacksenhouse, C. Keren, and C.C. Dacso.
May 23, 2009A Short Second Opinion on Info-Gap Decision Theory .
May 10, 2009Laplace's Principle of Insufficient Reason .
May 9, 2009Black Swans, Modern Nostradamuses, Voodoo Decision Theories, Info-Gaps, and the Science of Decision-Making in the Face of Severe Uncertainty is now available.
May 5, 2009Bayes Rule vs Maximin Rule , indicating that the latter is not an instance of the former.
April 28, 2009new refereed Info-Gap paper by Lior Davidovitch, Richard Stoklosa, Jonathan Majer, Alex Nietrzeba, Peter Whittle, Kerrie Mengersen, Yakov Ben-Haim.
April 24, 2009criticism of Bueno de Mesquita's theories . It is linked to the page New Nostradamuses .
April 14, 2009
April 9, 2009Decision-Making Under Severe Uncertainty " site launched.
April 5, 2009"reviews of publications on Info-Gap decision theory" is now available.
March 31, 2009
March 26, 2009Freudian Info-Gap slip!
March 24, 2009Hall and Harvey's (2009) new intriguing assumption regarding the likelihood of deviations from the estimate.
March 24, 2009Modern alchemy, Freudian slips, quick-fixes and suchlike was added.
